PropIQ

The NBA prop model with a
fully public track record.

Every pick logged before tip-off. Every result graded and verified. No hidden losses, no cherry-picked stats — see the full history.

Model Analyzes

138 curated features per player processed through a stacking ensemble trained on 6 seasons of NBA data.

Edge Detected

When our prediction diverges from the sportsbook line, we flag the edge and estimate win probability.

AI Monitors

AI agents watch for late injuries, news, and line moves — automatically voiding or flagging affected picks before tip-off.

You Get Picks

Sized with Kelly Criterion and delivered pre-tipoff. Full transparency — every pick is tracked and graded.

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Stacking Ensemble

XGBoost, LightGBM, and Ridge regression combine for predictions that outperform any single model.

138 Curated Features

Importance-ranked signals: rolling stats, opponent context, pace, shot tracking, usage rates, and advanced metrics.

Win Probability

Quantile regression models estimate full outcome distributions for analytically-derived win probabilities.

Kelly Bet Sizing

Volatility-adjusted fractional Kelly Criterion with same-game correlation caps sizes every wager.

Player Name

PTS24.5

OVER

Pred

29.4

Edge

+4.9

Win%

72%

Kelly

3.2%

All-Star members see predictions, edge, win probability, and Kelly sizing for every pick.

Check our full public results, then get daily picks delivered before tip-off with a 3-day free trial.

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